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major
sectors of the economy :
jewelry and diamond processing :
manufacturing
: information
technology : natural
resources : chemicals
and pharmaceuticals : agriculture
: food
processing : tourism
: construction
and construction materials :
energy
: transport
: telecommunications
: water
Energy
Urgently
needed reform of the energy sector is now under way. Not least due to
low collection levels of payments for energy, the sector has required
increasing levels of government support, and is suffering from severe
underinvestment. Restructuring to upgrade the system, promote commercialization
and increase competition is an imperative. The priorities are to address
system malfunctions and invest in maintenance of circuits and equipment
as well as technology replacement.
In September 1998 the government approved a revised reform program for
the energy sector, which includes efficiency improvement measures, debt
workouts and tariff increases. After a rate increase in January 1999,
tariffs now cover operating costs. Despite very good collection rates,
high commercial and technical losses on otherwise billable consumption
have affected planned investment and maintenance and the ability to import
fuel. The energy sector recorded an estimated net loss of US$ 62 million
in 1999, equivalent to 3 per cent of GDP. In the next stage of reforms
the government plans to privatize distribution companies in 2000, with
majority stakes offered to strategic investors, and to develop a regulatory
and licensing framework for a wholesale electricity market. The privatization
of generation companies is scheduled for 2001.
Energy
Generation
The
closure of the Medzamor nuclear power plant is scheduled for 2004. Unit
2 of the Medzamor plant was put back into operation in late 1995 in the
face of an acute energy crisis. However, serious concerns about the location
of Medzamor on an earthquake fault make closure imperative. The EU has
conducted negotiations with Armenia on possible financial assistance for
the closure, but has yet to reach an agreement. According to the Energy
Ministry, the capital investment needed to create substitutes for the
energy generated by Medzamor may total about US$ 1.45 billion over 15
years including decommissioning.
The only indigenous source of energy is hydro-power, which accounts for
about one third of the country's electricity generation. Nuclear power
accounts for under 30 per cent, and thermal power for over 40 per cent.
There is a chain of hydroelectric plants on the Hrazdan River, with plans
to develop more. There are three operational thermal power plants (Yerevan,
550 megawatts - MW; Hrazdan oil and gas plant, 1, 110 MW; and Vanadzor,
96 MW). All three are in need of upgrading. The Yerevan plant is now being
equipped with new cost-effective steam generators supplied by ABB (Sweden/Switzerland).
In January 2000 Japan's Mitsubishi announced that it is considering financing
the construction of a new thermal power plant, and possibly some new hydro-power
plants as well.
In November 1999 the EBRD announced a tender to prepare a pre-privatization
package for the Hrazdan power station (Units 1-5). According to preliminary
data, the plant's value is estimated at US$ 100 million. Hrazdan, which
has already benefited from EBRD financing for conservation measures in
its Unit 5, is seen as an alternative source of energy enabling the early
closure of the Medzamor nuclear plant. The privatization of other generation
companies is scheduled for 2001.
Surplus electricity is exported to Georgia. Iran and Armenia have linked
their electricity grids, allowing power sales in both directions, depending
on seasonal demand.
Energy
Distribution
Armenia's
electricity distribution companies are slated for restructuring and privatization,
with majority stakes to be offered to strategic investors. The EBRD, the
World Bank and USAID are assisting with the process. The EBRD plans to
provide equity capital upon privatization alongside a reputable strategic
investor, and the World Bank is financing the privatization advisors to
the government. Not only will privatization of the distribution companies
significantly increase FDI in Armenia, but it will also make the energy
sector much more attractive to foreign investors.
Four electricity distribution companies are included in the privatization
list of 2000. Tenders for privatization of these companies has begun in
June 1999. 15 international companies had applied for the tender. Only
four companies have successfully passed the pre-qualification stage: ABB
Energy Ventures Ltd., AES Silk Road(USA), Electricite De France, and Union
Fenoza ACEX (Spain). Foreign investors will own 51 per cent of the whole
package of each company. Up to 20 per cent will be directly sold to international
financial corporations. Tariffs for electricity set after privatization
will depend on sale terms. The privatization will help the country to
address collection and theft issues, as well as to address investment
needs in the energy sector. It is hoped that it will also help to introduce
real cost based commercial prices and effect market competition. Further,
it could provide reliable energy purchase agreements to the generation
plants, thus reinforcing the possibility of attracting quality foreign
investors for the privatization of energy generation.
Oil
and Gas Supplies
Armenia
is dependent on imports of refined oil products as it has no reserves
or refineries of its own. For lack of pipelines, these are imported by
road or rail, mostly from Georgia's Batumi refinery. Greek and US firms
undertook some modest oil exploration in Armenia in the mid-1990s, but
in April 1999 exploration activity ceased for lack of funds. Texaco (US)
has recently opened an office in Yerevan and plans to distribute fuel
and machine oils. It has also expressed interest in oil and gas prospecting.
Natural gas is imported from Turkmenistan through Russian and Georgian
pipeline networks, occasionally disrupted by local unrest, accidents and
non-payment of debts. The government is now planning to privatize the
national gas grid and distribution company, Haygazard. Armenia is also
exploring the option of using other gas suppliers, such as Iran. This
would involve a US$ 120-150 million pipeline to link the Armenian and
Iranian gas grids. Armenia has been seeking funding from the World Bank
and the EBRD. Financing has not yet been secured and the project will
be further delayed until an agreement is reached on Iranian gas prices.
However, an international consortium is being founded to construct the
pipeline, including Russia's Gazprom, the Armenian Energy Ministry, Gaz
de France and the Iran National Gas Company, while Greek participation
is also being considered. Of the 140-kilometer pipeline, 40 kilometers
would be within Armenia, which would initially receive I billion cubic
meters of gas per year from Iran, to rise later to 2.5 billion. Discussions
have also been held with Ukraine on the possible extension of the pipeline
through Ukraine and further into Western Europe.
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